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Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Roatan Weather Forecast for Tuesday, Aug. 16, 2011


Roatan Weather Forecast
As presented by Radio Roatan, FM 101.1 or www.roatanradio.com
and
CoCoView is at 16.3°N Latitude x 86.5°W Longitude
In the
NW Caribbean Sea
Tuesday August 16, 2011
Today, skies will be sunny, with some mid to high level cloudiness. Winds will be from the ESE, at 5 to 15 mph this morning, shifting to ENE, at 10 to 15 mph this afternoon. The seas will be moderate, at 1 to 4 feet in height.
The air temperatures will be in the 80s to the mid 90s (F) or 27 to 32 (C). In sunny areas, out of the wind, it will feel like 100F or 38C. At depth, ocean water temperatures are about 82F to 86F or 28C to 30C . Visibility is generally 60 to 80 feet.

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Fig 1 – Wind Forecast for 110816

The Tropical Weather Outlook
93L, now has a 20% chance of strengthening in the next 24 hours. This morning it is still traveling W at 15 to 20 mph and is about 1400 ESE of us. Further development in the next day or so, is expected to be slow to occur. However, this morning, the majority of computer models have all shifted the track of 93L south. They also show it basically continuing due west and intensifying once it reaches the Western Caribbean. (See Figs 2, 3, & 4 below)At its current speed, it could begin to effect us as early as Friday and certainly this weekend. All interests in the Bay Islands and on the north coast of Honduras should continue to closely monitor its path and progress.

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Fig 2 - Graphicast showing 93L's projected path

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Fig 3 -  93L Computer Model Runs, Google Earth 110816 0600Z

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Fig 4 -  93L Computer Model Runs,  110816 0200 am

The Coral Spawning Outlook
The August full moon occurred Saturday evening. Historically, the best time to observe coral spawning in the Bay Islands has been, the 3rd or 4th nights, after the full moon. This week, plan on night diving, Tuesday through Friday nights, between 9:00pm and 2:00am. Monitor the tidal schedule, as spawning usually occurs in conjunction with the evening's high tide. Tonight high tide is around 9:50pm.
On day dives, continue to look for engorged or enlarged coral polyps in the hard corals and mass spooring from the sponges. A high degree of polyp enlargement or visibly emerging eggs in the polyps, is a good indicator that spawning is imminent.

The Tides: Moon and Sun

low tide 4:05 am LT            Moon Rise – 8:12 pm LT
high tide 10:22 am LT        Moon Set – 7:46 am LT
Low tide 3:53 pm LT          Sunrise – 5:32 am LT
high tide 9:47 pm LT          Sunset – 6:12 pm LT

Moon Phase 110816.png

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