Roatan Rag: Roatan Weather Forecast for Saturday October 15, 2011

Roatan Weather Forecast

As presented by Radio Roatan, FM 101.1 or www.roatanradio.com

and

CoCoView Resort, www.cocoviewresort.com, 800-282-8932

CoCoView is at 16.4°N Latitude x 86.4°W Longitude

In the

NW Caribbean Sea

Saturday October 15, 2011

Today, it will be mostly cloudy with some sunny periods. There is a chance for rain showers and thunderstorms. Seas will be choppy at 2 to 4 feet in height. Winds, will be strong, and mostly westerly at 15 to 25 mph. Winds and seas may occasionally be higher.

A broad low pressure system, centered just east of Belize, is still producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and adjacent land masses. This system is expected to drift slowly northwestward and some further development is possible, before the center of the broad circulation moves inland over the Yucatan Peninsula by late Sunday. This system has a low chance, 20 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Locally heavy rains will likely continue over Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Cuba and adjacent islands during the next couple of days.

This morning, a weak cold front extends from just S of Tampa Bay, Florida to Tampico, Mexico. It has stalled out and will linger there, through Monday, before dissipating. Tuesday, another cold front will move rapidly SE across the western Gulf of Mexico. By Wednesday, it will over take and absorb the remnants of the old front.

The air temperatures will be in the mid to the high 80s (F) or 27 to 30 (C).

At depth, ocean water temperatures are about 82F to 88F or 28C to 31C . Visibility is generally 40 to 60 feet.

Fig 1 – Today's Wind Forecast

Fig 2 – Today's Water Vapor Image, early am

Fig 3 – Today's Graphicast

The Tropical Weather Outlook

An area of low pressure is located in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean about 625 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur, due to marginal upper-level winds. This system has a low chance, 20 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves to the west at about 15 mph.

Elsewhere, tropical storm formation is not expected for the next 24 hours.